on some aspects of forecasting methods




Michael Gilliland Business Forecasting. Practical Problems and Solutions

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3146.57 руб.
A comprehensive collection of the field's most provocative, influential new work Business Forecasting compiles some of the field's important and influential literature into a single, comprehensive reference for forecast modeling and process improvement. It is packed with provocative ideas from forecasting researchers and practitioners, on topics including accuracy metrics, benchmarking, modeling of problem data, and overcoming dysfunctional behaviors. Its coverage includes often-overlooked issues at the forefront of research, such as uncertainty, randomness, and forecastability, as well as emerging areas like data mining for forecasting. The articles present critical analysis of current practices and consideration of new ideas. With a mix of formal, rigorous pieces and brief introductory chapters, the book provides practitioners with a comprehensive examination of the current state of the business forecasting field. Forecasting performance is ultimately limited by the 'forecastability' of the data. Yet failing to recognize this, many organizations continue to squander resources pursuing unachievable levels of accuracy. This book provides a wealth of ideas for improving all aspects of the process, including the avoidance of wasted efforts that fail to improve (or even harm) forecast accuracy. Analyzes the most prominent issues in business forecasting Investigates emerging approaches and new methods of analysis Combines forecasts to improve accuracy Utilizes Forecast Value Added to identify process inefficiency The business environment is evolving, and forecasting methods must evolve alongside it. This compilation delivers an array of new tools and research that can enable more efficient processes and more accurate results. Business Forecasting provides an expert's-eye view of the field's latest developments to help you achieve your desired business outcomes.

Kostas Nikolopoulos I. Forecasting With The Theta Method. Theory and Applications

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8167.44 руб.
The first book to be published on the Theta method, outlining under what conditions the method outperforms other forecasting methods This book is the first to detail the Theta method of forecasting – one of the most difficult-to-beat forecasting benchmarks, which topped the biggest forecasting competition in the world in 2000: the M3 competition. Written by two of the leading experts in the forecasting field, it illuminates the exact replication of the method and under what conditions the method outperforms other forecasting methods. Recent developments such as multivariate models are also included, as are a series of practical applications in finance, economics, and healthcare. The book also offers practical tools in MS Excel and guidance, as well as provisional access, for the use of R source code and respective packages. Forecasting with the Theta Method: Theory and Applications includes three main parts. The first part, titled Theory, Methods, Models & Applications details the new theory about the method. The second part, Applications & Performance in Forecasting Competitions, describes empirical results and simulations on the method. The last part roadmaps future research and also include contributions from another leading scholar of the method – Dr. Fotios Petropoulos. First ever book to be published on the Theta Method Explores new theory and exact conditions under which methods would outperform most forecasting benchmarks Clearly written with practical applications Employs R – open source code with all included implementations Forecasting with the Theta Method: Theory and Applications is a valuable tool for both academics and practitioners involved in forecasting and respective software development.

Dorling Steve Operational Weather Forecasting

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12474.26 руб.
This book offers a complete primer, covering the end-to-end process of forecast production, and bringing together a description of all the relevant aspects together in a single volume; with plenty of explanation of some of the more complex issues and examples of current, state-of-the-art practices. Operational Weather Forecasting covers the whole process of forecast production, from understanding the nature of the forecasting problem, gathering the observational data with which to initialise and verify forecasts, designing and building a model (or models) to advance those initial conditions forwards in time and then interpreting the model output and putting it into a form which is relevant to customers of weather forecasts. Included is the generation of forecasts on the monthly-to-seasonal timescales, often excluded in text-books despite this type of forecasting having been undertaken for several years. This is a rapidly developing field, with a lot of variations in practices between different forecasting centres. Thus the authors have tried to be as generic as possible when describing aspects of numerical model design and formulation. Despite the reliance on NWP, the human forecaster still has a big part to play in producing weather forecasts and this is described, along with the issue of forecast verification – how forecast centres measure their own performance and improve upon it. Advanced undergraduates and postgraduate students will use this book to understand how the theory comes together in the day-to-day applications of weather forecast production. In addition, professional weather forecasting practitioners, professional users of weather forecasts and trainers will all find this new member of the RMetS Advancing Weather and Climate series a valuable tool. Provides an end-to-end description of the weather forecasting process Clearly structured and pitched at an accessible level, the book discusses the practical choices that operational forecasting centres have to make in terms of what numerical models they use and when they are run. Takes a very practical approach, using real life case-studies to contextualize information Discusses the latest advances in the area, including ensemble methods, monthly to seasonal range prediction and use of ‘nowcasting’ tools such as radar and satellite imagery Full colour throughout Written by a highly respected team of authors with experience in both academia and practice. Part of the RMetS book series ‘Advancing Weather and Climate’

Michael Gilliland The Business Forecasting Deal. Exposing Myths, Eliminating Bad Practices, Providing Practical Solutions

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3146.57 руб.
Practical-nontechnical-solutions to the problems of business forecasting Written in a nontechnical style, this book provides practical solutions to common business forecasting problems, showing you how to think about business forecasting in the context of uncertainty, randomness and process performance. Addresses the philosophical foundations of forecasting Raises awareness of fundamental issues usually overlooked in pursuit of the perfect forecast Introduces a new way to think about business forecasting, focusing on process efficiency and the elimination of worst practices Provides practical approaches for the non-statistical problems forecasters face Illustrates Forecast Value Added (FVA) Analysis for identifying waste in the forecasting process Couched in the context of uncertainty, randomness, and process performance, this book offers new, innovative ideas for resolving your business forecasting problems.

Peter Hirschbichler Order Quantity Forecasting for the Fashion Industry

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3752 руб.
Master's Thesis from the year 2010 in the subject Computer Science - Applied, grade: 1, Fachhochschule Salzburg (Information Technology und Systems Management), language: English, abstract: Precise order quantity forecasting for fashion retailers is difficult, because of the specific nature of fashion products namely long lead times, seasonality, and product attributes suchas sizes, colours, and cuts. This thesis contributes to order quantity forecasting for fashion products by the use of regression analysis. For this purpose, forecasting techniques in general, and parametric as well as nonparametric regression analysis in articular are presented. This is followed by fundamentals of data mining, specifically data preprocessing and data warehousing, in order to be able to apply regression analysis on historical sales data. Furthermore, to examine the quality of forecasts a method forevaluating the economical benefit of order quantity forecasting was developed.As a next step, the presented methods for forecasting were applied to historical sales data. Therefore, sales data was analysed, regression models were applied and forecasts werecalculated and evaluated finally. This thesis is concluded by suggesting a forecasting implementation and by discussing the contributions to order quantity forecasting.

Sarah Watt Economic and Business Forecasting. Analyzing and Interpreting Econometric Results

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4724.58 руб.
Discover the secrets to applying simple econometric techniques to improve forecasting Equipping analysts, practitioners, and graduate students with a statistical framework to make effective decisions based on the application of simple economic and statistical methods, Economic and Business Forecasting offers a comprehensive and practical approach to quantifying and accurate forecasting of key variables. Using simple econometric techniques, author John E. Silvia focuses on a select set of major economic and financial variables, revealing how to optimally use statistical software as a template to apply to your own variables of interest. Presents the economic and financial variables that offer unique insights into economic performance Highlights the econometric techniques that can be used to characterize variables Explores the application of SAS software, complete with simple explanations of SAS-code and output Identifies key econometric issues with practical solutions to those problems Presenting the «ten commandments» for economic and business forecasting, this book provides you with a practical forecasting framework you can use for important everyday business applications.

Vladimir Rykov Reliability of Engineering Systems and Technological Risk

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9730.69 руб.
This book is based on a lecture course to students specializing in the safety of technological processes and production. The author focuses on three main problems in technological risks and safety: elements of reliability theory, the basic notions, models and methods of general risk theory and some aspects of insurance in the context of risk management. Although the material in this book is aimed at those working towards a bachelor's degree in engineering, it may also be of interest to postgraduate students and specialists dealing with problems related to reliability and risks.

Mario Rometsch Quasi-Monte Carlo Methods in Finance

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7064 руб.
Portfolio optimization is a widely studied problem in finance dating back to the work of Merton from the 1960s. While many approaches rely on dynamic programming, some recent contributions usemartingale techniques to determine the optimal portfolio allocation.Using the latter approach, we follow a journal article from 2003 and show how optimal portfolio weights can be represented in terms of conditional expectations of the state variables and their Malliavin derivatives.In contrast to other approaches, where Monte Carlo methods are used to compute the weights, here the simulation is carried out using Quasi-Monte Carlo methods in order to improve the efficiency. Despite some previous work on Quasi-Monte Carlo simulation of stochastic differential equations, we find them to dominate plain Monte Carlo methods. However, the theoretical optimal order of convergence is not achieved.With the help of some recent results concerning Monte-Carlo error estimation and backed by some computer experiments on a simple model with explicit solution, we provide a first guess, what could be a way around this difficulties.The book is organized as follows. In the first chapter we provide some general introduction to Quasi-Monte Carlo methods and show at hand of a simple example how these methods can be used to accelerate the plain Monte Carlo sampling approach. In the second part we provide a thourough introduction to Malliavin Calculus and derive some important calculation rules that will be nece...

Alice Yalaoui Optimization of Logistics

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11971.81 руб.
This book aims to help engineers, Masters students and young researchers to understand and gain a general knowledge of logistic systems optimization problems and techniques, such as system design, layout, stock management, quality management, lot-sizing or scheduling. It summarizes the evaluation and optimization methods used to solve the most frequent problems. In particular, the authors also emphasize some recent and interesting scientific developments, as well as presenting some industrial applications and some solved instances from real-life cases. Performance evaluation tools (Petri nets, the Markov process, discrete event simulation, etc.) and optimization techniques (branch-and-bound, dynamic programming, genetic algorithms, ant colony optimization, etc.) are presented first. Then, new optimization methods are presented to solve systems design problems, layout problems and buffer-sizing optimization. Forecasting methods, inventory optimization, packing problems, lot-sizing quality management and scheduling are presented with examples in the final chapters.

Dr. Mohamed E. El-Hawary Advances in Electric Power and Energy Systems. Load and Price Forecasting

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9355.75 руб.
A comprehensive review of state-of-the-art approaches to power systems forecasting from the most respected names in the field, internationally Advances in Electric Power and Energy Systems is the first book devoted exclusively to a subject of increasing urgency to power systems planning and operations. Written for practicing engineers, researchers, and post-grads concerned with power systems planning and forecasting, this book brings together contributions from many of the world’s foremost names in the field who address a range of critical issues, from forecasting power system load to power system pricing to post-storm service restoration times, river flow forecasting, and more. In a time of ever-increasing energy demands, mounting concerns over the environmental impacts of power generation, and the emergence of new, smart-grid technologies, electricity price forecasting has assumed a prominent role within both the academic and industrial arenas. Short-run forecasting of electricity prices has become necessary for power generation unit schedule, since it is the basis of every maximization strategy. This book fills a gap in the literature on this increasingly important topic. Following an introductory chapter offering background information necessary for a full understanding of the forecasting issues covered, this book: Introduces advanced methods of time series forecasting, as well as neural networks Provides in-depth coverage of state-of-the-art power system load forecasting and electricity price forecasting Addresses river flow forecasting based on autonomous neural network models Deals with price forecasting in a competitive market Includes estimation of post-storm restoration times for electric power distribution systems Features contributions from world-renowned experts sharing their insights and expertise in a series of self-contained chapters Advances in Electric Power and Energy Systems is a valuable resource for practicing engineers, regulators, planners, and consultants working in or concerned with the electric power industry. It is also a must read for senior undergraduates, graduate students, and researchers involved in power system planning and operation.

Murat Kulahci Introduction to Time Series Analysis and Forecasting

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10104.92 руб.
Praise for the First Edition «…[t]he book is great for readers who need to apply the methods and models presented but have little background in mathematics and statistics.» -MAA Reviews Thoroughly updated throughout, Introduction to Time Series Analysis and Forecasting, Second Edition presents the underlying theories of time series analysis that are needed to analyze time-oriented data and construct real-world short- to medium-term statistical forecasts. Authored by highly-experienced academics and professionals in engineering statistics, the Second Edition features discussions on both popular and modern time series methodologies as well as an introduction to Bayesian methods in forecasting. Introduction to Time Series Analysis and Forecasting, Second Edition also includes: Over 300 exercises from diverse disciplines including health care, environmental studies, engineering, and finance More than 50 programming algorithms using JMP®, SAS®, and R that illustrate the theory and practicality of forecasting techniques in the context of time-oriented data New material on frequency domain and spatial temporal data analysis Expanded coverage of the variogram and spectrum with applications as well as transfer and intervention model functions A supplementary website featuring PowerPoint® slides, data sets, and select solutions to the problems Introduction to Time Series Analysis and Forecasting, Second Edition is an ideal textbook upper-undergraduate and graduate-levels courses in forecasting and time series. The book is also an excellent reference for practitioners and researchers who need to model and analyze time series data to generate forecasts.

Lihong Zhou Oxidation of C-H Bonds

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14595.68 руб.
A combination of oxidation methods and C‒H bond functionalization, this book emphasizes mechanistic understanding and critical analysis of synthetic reactions to offer a guide or manual for practicing chemists. • Combines oxidation methods and C‒H bond functionalization, two of the most important aspects of organic synthesis • Deals with C‒H bonds, an area of dynamic and continuous research across chemistry and catalysis • Helps readers understand the fundamental and applied differences among various oxidation methods and reactions • Covers mechanistic details, conditions, oxidation reagents, and practical aspects of different reactions

Georgeta Modiga Some Aspects Regarding the Public Pension in Romania

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8652 руб.
This work is presenting some forecasts of key developments aggregate of public pension system under transition of the Romanian economy from the status of "in transition" to the market economy - necessity, implementation and immediate effects. In the same time, is presenting theoretical-methodological bases of the macroeconomic forecasting model, the labour market and population - MITGEM, the impact of EU integration on macro-economic developments of the main variables influencing the profitability of pension funds ; alternative forecast scenarios - as the main way of operating the MITGEM model. Also, is presenting the prospective of the main variables of pension system structure of the model scenarios within MITGEM, average pension, the average retirement pension, disability pension and survivor's pension in Romania.

Purvesh Shah Organic preparation based on name reaction

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1752 руб.
Document from the year 2013 in the subject Chemistry - Organic Chemistry, grade: A-C, , language: English, abstract: In "Organic Preparation based on some name reactions", I discuss some laboratory methods for preparation of some organic compounds based on name reaction like, Claisen-Schmidt Reaction, Beckmann Rearrangement, Diels-Alder Reaction, Pechmann Condensation, Fischer Indole Synthesis, Haloform Reaction, Knorr Quinoline Synthesis, Kolbe - Schmitt Reaction, etc.In the last chapter there is a discussion about Purification of organic compounds and their various methods.

Hans-Georg Nollau, Carmen Zech Forecasting. A Challenge for True Statisticians

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7064 руб.
At all times, looking into the future and knowing what is happening has been a dream of mankind. As a symbol for this attempt the Oracle of Delphi is the best proof and until today the Delphi-Method is an important decision support tool.Despite of all methods and procedures to make forecasting a high level of responsibility, seriousness and professionalism of all the involved people is an absolute necessity. Today, unfortunately we often have the situation where those who are putting society at risk are "no true statisticians", merely people using statistics either without understanding them or in a self-serving manner. This is not a joke, this is criminal!In the present contribution, the 16th volume of the publication series "Economy and Labour" with the title "Forecasting: A Challenge for True Statisticians", a scientific, well proofed method of mathematical statistics for Time Series Analysis and Forecasting is presented. It is one of the mathematically oriented methods and procedures of Customer-oriented-Holistic-Netted-Logistics CHNL described in this publication series.In the present volume an important forecasting tool is described and its power is impressively shown by case studies using the SCA-Software system.

Cynthia Kase A. Kase on Technical Analysis Workbook. Trading and Forecasting

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18591.02 руб.
Learn all you need to know about trading and forecasting with technical analysis Kase on Technical Analysis is the ultimate guide to forecasting and trading technically, a comprehensive «all you need to know» review of the topics. Award-winning instructor, Cynthia A. Kase, CMT1, MFTA2, engineer, veteran energy trader, and one of the world's preeminent market technicians, captures her 30 plus years of experience in thirteen half-hour sessions, for more than six in-depth hours on technical analysis essentials. Viewers will develop a better understanding of charting and technical indicators, and get an inside look at cutting edge material based on Kase's own unique indicators and innovative approaches to trading and forecasting. The video describes key techniques for interpreting market behavior and developing a technical approach to trading. The workbook provides practice exercises that reinforce the concepts learned as Kase guides viewers through the various methodologies and their real-life applications to successful market interactions. Technical analysis is based on the premise that the behavior of a market reveals all that is known about it. Price action, volatility and rates of price changes may be harnessed by Kase's techniques to forecast future prices, identify low risk, high reward trading opportunities, and to cut losses while letting profits run. Kase on Technical Analysis shows how it's done, providing clear and wide-ranging instruction and expert insight that helps viewers to: Build a foundational understanding of charting and technical indicators, including an introduction to latest techniques Learn the most important technical methods for interpreting and analyzing market behavior Effectively apply technical analysis to trading strategy, risk management and market forecasting Formulate entry and exit strategies by using pattern recognition and properly applying technical indicators Technical analysis is a core discipline used by successful traders to assess market conditions and time trades. This package covers the aspects of technical analysis needed for intelligent interaction with the markets, from theory to practice, with concrete guidance toward real-world application. For traders wanting to «come up to speed» on technical analysis, for those wanting a refresher on the topic, as well as for seasoned traders looking for new ideas, Kase on Technical Analysis provides deep insight from a global authority. 1 Chartered Market Technician awarded by the Market Technicians Association 2 Master of Financial Technical Analysis awarded by the International Federation of Technical Analysts

Johannes Fink Karl Metallized and Magnetic Polymers. Chemistry and Applications

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14595.68 руб.
This book focuses on the chemistry of metallized and magnetic polymers, as well as the special applications of these materials. After an introductory section on the general aspects of the field, the types and uses of these polymers are detailed, followed by an overview of the testing methods. The book is divided equally into two parts – metallized polymers and magnetic polymers – and both parts follow the same structure: All methods of fabrication Properties and methods of measurement including standard test methods and interface properties Fields of applications Environmental issues including recycling and biodegradable polymers

Faith Glasgow Small Business Finance All-in-One For Dummies

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2871.91 руб.
Keeping track of the finances is fundamental to the success of every business, but tackling the task yourself can be intimidating. Help is at hand, however, with this complete guide to small business money management. Packed with expert advice on all aspects of business finance, including basic bookkeeping and accounting, monitoring profit and performance, managing payroll, tackling tax, and forecasting for growth, Small Business Finance All-in-One For Dummies helps you to take control of your finances, stay on top of the paperwork, and keep the cash flowing.

Diop-Kane Mariane Meteorology of Tropical West Africa. The Forecasters' Handbook

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10965.55 руб.
Meteorology of tropical West Africa: the Forecasters’ Handbook presents the science and practice of weather forecasting for an important region of the tropics. Connecting basic theory with forecasting practice, the book provides a unique training volume for operational weather forecasters, and is also suitable for students of tropical meteorology. The West African region contains a number of archetypal climatic zones, meaning that the science of its weather and climate applies to many other tropical regions. West Africa also exhibits some of the world’s most remarkable weather systems, making it an inspiring region for students to investigate. The weather of West Africa affects human livelihoods on a daily basis, and can contribute to hardship, poverty and mortality. Therefore, the ability to understand and predict the weather has the potential to deliver significant benefits to both society and economies. The book includes comprehensive background material alongside documentation of weather forecasting methods. Many examples taken from observations of West African weather systems are included and online case-studies are referenced widely.

Jean Cornier Pharmaceutical Nanotechnology. Innovation and Production, 2 Volumes

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25074.13 руб.
With its focus on concrete methods and recent advances in applying nanotechnology to develop new drug therapies and medical diagnostics, this book provides an overall picture of the field, from the fundamentals of nanopharmacy with the characterisation and manufacturing methods to the role of nanoparticles and substances. Actual examples of utilization include drug development issues, translation to the clinic, market prospects, and industrial commercialization aspects. The applications described are taken from cancer treatment as well as other major therapeutic areas, such as infectious diseases and dermatology. An in-depth discussion on safety, regulatory, and societal aspects rounds off the book. Written by a top team of editors and authors composed of the leading experts in Europe and the USA who have pioneered the field of nanopharmacy!

W. Khdhr Fuad, K. Saeed Rostam Solving Non-Linear Equations

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8927 руб.
In this work some modifications of the iterative methods and new methods presented for solving non-linear equations. The order of convergence and corresponding error equations of our methods is derived analytically and with the help of Maple program. We noted that the convergence analysis of our methods have order of convergence three, four, five, six, seven and ten. The efficiency of the method is tested on several numerical examples. It is observed that our methods is comparable with the well-known existing methods and in many cases gives better results. Also, our methods are competing with the other iterative methods of simple roots for solving non-linear equations.

Hirenkumar Sherathiya Practical manual for Plant Tissue Culture

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2989 руб.
Document from the year 2012 in the subject Agrarian Studies, , course: Carrier Oriented Program, language: English, abstract: Plant tissue culture is a collection of techniques used to maintain or grow plant cells, tissues or organs under sterile conditions on a nutrient culture medium of known composition. Different techniques in plant tissue culture may offer certain advantages over traditional methods of propagation.This practical manual has been prepared in response to the necessities of the graduate students as an introduction to the in vitro tissue culture techniques and some molecular aspects.

William Mallios S. Forecasting in Financial and Sports Gambling Markets. Adaptive Drift Modeling

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8772.44 руб.
A guide to modeling analyses for financial and sports gambling markets, with a focus on major current events Addressing the highly competitive and risky environments of current-day financial and sports gambling markets, Forecasting in Financial and Sports Gambling Markets details the dynamic process of constructing effective forecasting rules based on both graphical patterns and adaptive drift modeling (ADM) of cointegrated time series. The book uniquely identifies periods of inefficiency that these markets oscillate through and develops profitable forecasting models that capitalize on irrational behavior exhibited during these periods. Providing valuable insights based on the author's firsthand experience, this book utilizes simple, yet unique, candlestick charts to identify optimal time periods in financial markets and optimal games in sports gambling markets for which forecasting models are likely to provide profitable trading and wagering outcomes. Featuring detailed examples that utilize actual data, the book addresses various topics that promote financial and mathematical literacy, including: Higher order ARMA processes in financial markets The effects of gambling shocks in sports gambling markets Cointegrated time series with model drift Modeling volatility Throughout the book, interesting real-world applications are presented, and numerous graphical procedures illustrate favorable trading and betting opportunities, which are accompanied by mathematical developments in adaptive model forecasting and risk assessment. A related web site features updated reviews in sports and financial forecasting and various links on the topic. Forecasting in Financial and Sports Gambling Markets is an excellent book for courses on financial economics and time series analysis at the upper-undergraduate and graduate levels. The book is also a valuable reference for researchers and practitioners working in the areas of retail markets, quant funds, hedge funds, and time series. Also, anyone with a general interest in learning about how to profit from the financial and sports gambling markets will find this book to be a valuable resource.

Stephan Kolassa, Enno Siemsen Demand Forecasting for Managers

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4502 руб.
Most decisions and plans in a firm require a forecast. Not matching supply with demand can make or break any business, and that's why forecasting is so invaluable. Forecasting can appear as a frightening topic with many arcane equations to master. For this reason, the authors start out from the very basics and provide a non-technical overview of common forecasting techniques as well as organizational aspects of creating a robust forecasting process. The book also discusses how to measure forecast accuracy to hold people accountable and guide continuous improvement. This book does not require prior knowledge of higher mathematics, statistics, or operations research. It is designed to serve as a first introduction to the non-expert, such as a manager overseeing a forecasting group, or an MBA student who needs to be familiar with the broad outlines of forecasting without specializing in it.

Dmitriy Chulkin Martial art of calmness. 7 methods of dealing with stress

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68 руб.
The book briefly gives methods of dealing with stress, based on the practice of martial arts. To master and apply at least some of them worths nothing, and the result will be noticeable in the first week. A person who has found strength for all seven will become impenetrable for stresses, like a Japanese samurai.

Damien Faivre Iron Oxides. From Nature to Applications

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22079.57 руб.
Compiling all the information available on the topic, this ready reference covers all important aspects of iron oxides. Following a preliminary overview chapter discussing iron oxide minerals along with their unique structures and properties, the text goes on to deal with the formation and transformation of iron oxides, covering geological, synthetic, and biological formation, as well as various physicochemical aspects. Subsequent chapters are devoted to characterization techniques, with a special focus on X-ray-based methods, magnetic measurements, and electron microscopy alongside such traditional methods as IR/Raman and Mossbauer spectroscopy. The final section mainly concerns exciting new applications of magnetic iron oxides, for example in medicine as microswimmers or as water filtration systems, while more conventional uses as pigments or in biology for magnetoreception illustrate the full potential. A must-read for anyone working in the field.

S.H. Butcher Some aspects of the Greek Genius

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6902 руб.
Reprint of the original from 1916.

Kondrashova Nina Iterative algorithms for short-term forecasting

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8227 руб.
The monograph examines the relaxation iterative algorithms for short-term forecasting of real processes. Their main structural features and the convergence are presented. These algorithms can work as with the small sample sizes (ranging from three records) so with the large amount of data (from three dozen up to thousand variables and up to five dozen of thousand records). Since in these algorithms is observed balance between speed and complexity of models which they build, there are suggested ways to increase the accuracy of solutions if volume of observations is small. For example, to accelerate drag selection for patients, there are used different sample divisions, adaptive prognosis and complex forecasting that takes into account low-frequency (trend) and high-frequency component (residue) of the real process. But one step forward forecast of space weather with a lot of records has shown the high accuracy on the examination sample without mentioned accuracy improvement tools. Comparison of oil price forecasts obtained via GMDH against well known methods showed greater accuracy for the first ones. This book is intended for specialists in the field of forecasting complex systems.

Kaoru Tone Advances in DEA Theory and Applications. With Extensions to Forecasting Models

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8233.06 руб.
A key resource and framework for assessing the performance of competing entities, including forecasting models Advances in DEA Theory and Applications provides a much-needed framework for assessing the performance of competing entities with special emphasis on forecasting models. It helps readers to determine the most appropriate methodology in order to make the most accurate decisions for implementation. Written by a noted expert in the field, this text provides a review of the latest advances in DEA theory and applications to the field of forecasting. Designed for use by anyone involved in research in the field of forecasting or in another application area where forecasting drives decision making, this text can be applied to a wide range of contexts, including education, health care, banking, armed forces, auditing, market research, retail outlets, organizational effectiveness, transportation, public housing, and manufacturing. This vital resource: Explores the latest developments in DEA frameworks for the performance evaluation of entities such as public or private organizational branches or departments, economic sectors, technologies, and stocks Presents a novel area of application for DEA; namely, the performance evaluation of forecasting models Promotes the use of DEA to assess the performance of forecasting models in a wide area of applications Provides rich, detailed examples and case studies Advances in DEA Theory and Applications includes information on a balanced benchmarking tool that is designed to help organizations examine their assumptions about their productivity and performance.

Ravi Jaiswal Particle Adhesion and Removal

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15040.21 руб.
The book provides a comprehensive and easily accessible reference source covering all important aspects of particle adhesion and removal. The core objective is to cover both fundamental and applied aspects of particle adhesion and removal with emphasis on recent developments. Among the topics to be covered include: 1. Fundamentals of surface forces in particle adhesion and removal. 2. Mechanisms of particle adhesion and removal. 3. Experimental methods (e.g. AFM, SFA,SFM,IFM, etc.) to understand particle-particle and particle-substrate interactions. 4. Mechanics of adhesion of micro- and nanoscale particles. 5. Various factors affecting particle adhesion to a variety of substrates. 6. Surface modification techniques to modulate particle adhesion. 7. Various cleaning methods (both wet & dry) for particle removal. 8. Relevance of particle adhesion in a host of technologies ranging from simple to ultra-sophisticated.

W. D. Gann The W. D. Gann Master Commodity Course. Original Commodity Market Trading Course

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8177 руб.
W. D. Gann's Commodities Trading Course is an extensive course. This course gives you a number of different trading techniques and skills. Which include: charting, chart interpretation, using Gann Angles, Squaring Price and Time, using Gann Squares, Square of Nine, Gann Numbers, Gann Calculators and more. This course consists of Gann's original course he sold in the early 1950's for a reported $5,000. Here is a listing of the subjects covered in this Course: Speculation; a Profitable Profession. Mechanical Method and Trend Indicator Rules for Trading in Grains The Basis of My Forecasting Methods for Grains Forecasting by Time Cycles. The Basis of My Forecasting Method for Cotton Mechanical Method and New Trend Indicator for Cotton Cash and May Soybean Futures Master Egg Course Master Charts Supplement Section

Milan Frankl Business Decision-Making. Streamlining the Process for More Effective Results

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4527 руб.
How do executives make decisions? Based on what? Are their decisions conscious or unconscious? Can they explain each decision they make? What tools can they use to improve their decision-making process? What rules of thumb (heuristics) can they use when faced with decision-making challenges? These are some of the questions this book is about. During the past 30 years, as an entrepreneur and senior executive of several medium-sized Canadian hi-tech businesses, the author observed his decision-making processes to be based either on experience or on advice received from colleagues. Seldom were decisions based on formal or informal academic-based methods. Discussing decision-making methods with other executives of comparable business backgrounds confirms they rely on similar methods when looking for solutions to challenging business problems. There is no substitute for years of experience in any human endeavour. However, tapping into some of the methods and lessons learned from personal experience can result in useful principles for others to follow. These principles might be useful especially for entrepreneurs interested in building their businesses or executives looking for some additional help in acquiring a better decision-making mouse-trap.

Kanishka Biswas Essentials of Inorganic Materials Synthesis

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7481.05 руб.
This compact handbook describes all the important methods of synthesis employed today for synthesizing inorganic materials. Some features: Focuses on modern inorganic materials with applications in nanotechnology, energy materials, and sustainability Synthesis is a crucial component of materials science and technology; this book provides a simple introduction as well as an updated description of methods Written in a very simple style, providing references to the literature to get details of the methods of preparation when required

Cho W. S. To Stochastic Structural Dynamics. Application of Finite Element Methods

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10965.55 руб.
One of the first books to provide in-depth and systematic application of finite element methods to the field of stochastic structural dynamics The parallel developments of the Finite Element Methods in the 1950’s and the engineering applications of stochastic processes in the 1940’s provided a combined numerical analysis tool for the studies of dynamics of structures and structural systems under random loadings. In the open literature, there are books on statistical dynamics of structures and books on structural dynamics with chapters dealing with random response analysis. However, a systematic treatment of stochastic structural dynamics applying the finite element methods seems to be lacking. Aimed at advanced and specialist levels, the author presents and illustrates analytical and direct integration methods for analyzing the statistics of the response of structures to stochastic loads. The analysis methods are based on structural models represented via the Finite Element Method. In addition to linear problems the text also addresses nonlinear problems and non-stationary random excitation with systems having large spatially stochastic property variations. A systematic treatment of stochastic structural dynamics applying the finite element methods Highly illustrated throughout and aimed at advanced and specialist levels, it focuses on computational aspects instead of theory Emphasizes results mainly in the time domain with limited contents in the time-frequency domain Presents and illustrates direction integration methods for analyzing the statistics of the response of linear and nonlinear structures to stochastic loads Under Author Information – one change of word to existing text: He is a Fellow of the American Society of Mechanical Engineers (ASME)........

Jean-pierre Gazeau Non-Selfadjoint Operators in Quantum Physics. Mathematical Aspects

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9355.75 руб.
A unique discussion of mathematical methods with applications to quantum mechanics Non-Selfadjoint Operators in Quantum Physics: Mathematical Aspects presents various mathematical constructions influenced by quantum mechanics and emphasizes the spectral theory of non-adjoint operators. Featuring coverage of functional analysis and algebraic methods in contemporary quantum physics, the book discusses the recent emergence of unboundedness of metric operators, which is a serious issue in the study of parity-time-symmetric quantum mechanics. The book also answers mathematical questions that are currently the subject of rigorous analysis with potentially significant physical consequences. In addition to prompting a discussion on the role of mathematical methods in the contemporary development of quantum physics, the book features: Chapter contributions written by well-known mathematical physicists who clarify numerous misunderstandings and misnomers while shedding light on new approaches in this growing area An overview of recent inventions and advances in understanding functional analytic and algebraic methods for non-selfadjoint operators as well as the use of Krein space theory and perturbation theory Rigorous support of the progress in theoretical physics of non-Hermitian systems in addition to mathematically justified applications in various domains of physics such as nuclear and particle physics and condensed matter physics An ideal reference, Non-Selfadjoint Operators in Quantum Physics: Mathematical Aspects is useful for researchers, professionals, and academics in applied mathematics and theoretical and/or applied physics who would like to expand their knowledge of classical applications of quantum tools to address problems in their research. Also a useful resource for recent and related trends, the book is appropriate as a graduate-level and/or PhD-level text for courses on quantum mechanics and mathematical models in physics.

Sharad Vats A laboratory Text book of Biochemistry, Molecular Biology and Microbiology

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6202 руб.
Document from the year 2014 in the subject Biology - Micro- and Molecular Biology, , language: English, abstract: A laboratory Text book of Biochemistry, Molecular Biology and Microbiology is intended to prepare the undergraduate, postgraduate and research students to perform basic experiments on various aspects of bioscience and biotechnology. Moreover, in the Semester system of teaching it is necessary to explore experiments which are not lengthy and easily completed within contact hours. Initially the book deals with dilutions, pH, buffers, units of measurements and calculations. This is followed by lab safety rules which is very important for any student working with chemicals for their and safety of others. This book emphasizes on principles, reagent preparations and procedures related to experiments, which will be handy for students from different scientific backgrounds. A number of methods are available in the literature for quantification of various molecules. This book does not present all the available methods but based on experience it contains commonly used methods, which students should know. The methods have been written in a manner for direct practical use in the laboratory. This work has originated as a result of numerous requests from my students for eased out and explanatory methods pertaining to biochemistry, biotechnology, microbiology and others. The section on testing of adulterants is of much use for common mass because most of the food products we eat ...

Pekka Tiusanen Real Estate Price Forecasting in Finland

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6277 руб.
Master's Thesis from the year 2017 in the subject Business economics - Miscellaneous, , language: English, abstract: There is an abundance of existing literature regarding time series forecasting and the housing market. This thesis evaluates the performance and statistical adequacy of several time series models in the context of real estate price forecasting in Finland. Each statistical model is applied so that forecasts are generated over the seven quarters following the training sample. The resulting forecasts are compared against realized price development. Model evaluation is carried out from the viewpoint of forecasting errors in the validation period, statistical fit, modelling constraints and success in the light of the theoretical framework. It was concluded that scarce ARIMA-based models are suitable for short-term real estate price forecasting in the concerned setting. The models were built on logarithmic I(1) nominal data and augmented with seasonal dummy variables. The Chen & Liu (1993) structural anomaly detection method enhanced statistical fit in the training period and forecasting accuracy in the validation period. The inclusion of a drift parameter generally led to inflated forecasting results in the validation period. The RMSE and MAE error statistics produced by the best ARIMA-based models remained well below 0.5 % in the validation period. The Holt & Winters and I(1) OLS models were also outperformed by the most adept ARIMA-based models. The in...

Jerzy Wisniewski Witold Microeconometrics in Business Management

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5624.1 руб.
This book introduces the application of microeconometric methods for modelling various aspects of economic activity for small to large size enterprises, using methods that are based on both time-series and cross-section approaches. The information obtained from using these estimated models can then be used to inform business decisions that improve the efficiency of operations and planning. Basic models used in the modelling of the business (single-equation and multiple-equation systems) are introduced whilst a wide range of economic activity including major aspects of financial management, demand for labour, administrative staff and labour productivity are also explored. Microeconometrics in Business Management: Introduces econometric methods which can be used in the modelling of economic activity and forecasting, to help improve the efficiency of business operations and planning. Describes econometric entities through multiple-equation and single-equation microeconometric models. Explores the process of building and adapting basic microeconometric tools. Presents numerous micromodels based on time-series data and statistical cross-sectional sequences, which can be used in any enterprise. Features numerous real –world applications along with examples drawn from the authors own experience. Is supported by a companion website featuring practice problems and statistical data to aid students to construct and estimate micro models. Features end of chapter exercises with examples present in free software GRETL. This book serves as a valuable resource for students, business management practitioners and researchers in econometric micro-model construction and various decision-making processes.

Jerry Banks Forecasting and Management of Technology

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11226.9 руб.
Published in 1991, the first edition of Forecasting and Management of Technology was one of the leading handful of books to deal with the topic of forecasting of technology and technology management as this discipline was emerging. The new, revised edition of this book will build on this knowledge in the context of business organizations that now place a greater emphasis on technology to stay on the cutting edge of development. The scope of this edition has broadened to include management of technology content that is relevant to now to executives in organizations while updating and strengthening the technology forecasting and analysis content that the first edition is reputed for. Updated by the original author team, plus new author Scott Cunningham, the book takes into account what the authors see as the innovations to technology management in the last 17 years: the Internet; the greater focus on group decision-making including process management and mechanism design; and desktop software that has transformed the analytical capabilities of technology managers. Included in this book will be 5 case studies from various industries that show how technology management is applied in the real world.

V.S. Sobolev Petroleum Accumulation Zones on Continental Margins

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15867.5 руб.
Much of the world’s petroleum is located on continental margins, and any further development of these offshore deposits would be impossible without new technologies and new methods contained in this volume. Written by some of the world’s foremost authorities on oil and gas, this volume explains for the practicing engineer and the engineering student some of the most important and cutting-edge techniques for developing offshore fields on continental margins.

Jakub Debowski Computerization of United States Army as an Inspiration of Modern Warfare

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4464 руб.
Bachelor Thesis from the year 2012 in the subject Politics - International Politics - Region: USA, grade: A, University Warmińsko-Mazurski w Olsztynie (English Philology), course: History and Culture of English Speaking Countries, language: English, abstract: This paper presents a detailed analysis of subjectively chosen aspects of computerization of the United States Army, in the context of conducting modern warfare operations with the emphasis on military computer simulations. It is of great difficulty to analyze every element of such a broad, and at some points multi-layered and complex subject. Nevertheless, it is vital to indicate and establish boundaries of the areas of the subject that will be the target of this theoretical study, which mainly concentrates on the origins and development of the first military computer, Virtual Reality computer training simulations, and chosen aspects of the use of computers with emphasis on their indispensability on the modern battlefield. The aim of this paper is to prove that the invention of multiple technologically advanced computer devices, and their incorporation into the United States Army, redefined the form of conducting complex military operations, and considerably improved the training, and educational process of American soldiers, by creating innovative methods based on state of the art computer technology.

Dunn Elias Bound The weather and practical methods of forecasting it

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1282 руб.
Эта книга — репринт оригинального издания, созданный на основе электронной копии высокого разрешения, которую очистили и обработали вручную, сохранив структуру и орфографию оригинального издания. Редкие, забытые и малоизвестные книги, изданные с петровских времен до наших дней, вновь доступны в виде печатных книг.

Feng Chen Handbook of Meat, Poultry and Seafood Quality

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16462.57 руб.
A great need exists for valuable information on factors affecting the quality of animal related products. The second edition of Handbook of Meat, Poultry and Seafood Quality, focuses exclusively on quality aspects of products of animal origin, in depth discussions and recent developments in beef, pork, poultry, and seafood quality, updated sensory evaluation of different meat products, revised microbiological aspects of different meat products. Also, included are new chapters on packaging, new chapters and discussion of fresh and frozen products, new aspects of shelf life and recent developments in research of meat tainting. This second edition is a single source for up-to-date and key information on all aspects of quality parameters of muscle foods is a must have. The reader will have at hand in one focused volume covering key information on muscle foods quality.

Upcraft M. Lee Assessment Methods for Student Affairs

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3477.29 руб.
Editor John Schuh and his fellow contributors, all experts in the field, detail the methodological aspects of conducting assessment projects specifically for the student affairs practitioner who is ready to conduct assessment projects, but is not quite sure how to manage their technical aspects. Using a variety of case studies and concrete examples to illustrate various assessment approaches, the authors lead the reader step-by-step through each phase of the assessment process with jargon-free, hands-on guidance.

Rainer Wesche Physical Properties of High-Temperature Superconductors

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12270.77 руб.
A much-needed update on complex high-temperature superconductors, focusing on materials aspects; this timely book coincides with a recent major break-through of the discovery of iron-based superconductors. It provides an overview of materials aspects of high-temperature superconductors, combining introductory aspects, description of new physics, material aspects, and a description of the material properties This title is suitable for researchers in materials science, physics and engineering. Also for technicians interested in the applications of superconductors, e.g. as biomagnets

Alan Buglass J. Handbook of Alcoholic Beverages. Technical, Analytical and Nutritional Aspects

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34182.26 руб.
A comprehensive two- volume set that describes the science and technology involved in the production and analysis of alcoholic beverages. At the heart of all alcoholic beverages is the process of fermentation, particularly alcoholic fermentation, whereby sugars are converted to ethanol and many other minor products. The Handbook of Alcoholic Beverages tracks the major fermentation process, and the major chemical, physical and technical processes that accompany the production of the world’s most familiar alcoholic drinks. Indigenous beverages and small-scale production are alsocovered to asignificant extent. The overall approach is multidisciplinary, reflecting the true nature of the subject. Thus, aspects of biochemistry, biology (including microbiology), chemistry, health science, nutrition, physics and technology are all necessarily involved, but the emphasis is on chemistry in many areas of the book. Emphasis is also on more recent developments and innovations, but there is sufficient background for less experienced readers. The approach is unified, in that although different beverages are dealt with in different chapters, there is extensive cross-referencing and comparison between the subjects of each chapter. Divided into five parts, this comprehensive two-volume work presents: INTRODUCTION, BACKGROUND AND HISTORY: A simple introduction to the history and development of alcohol and some recent trends and developments, FERMENTED BEVERAGES: BEERS, CIDERS, WINES AND RELATED DRINKS: the latest innovations and aspects of the different fermentation processes used in beer, wine, cider, liquer wines, fruit wines, low-alcohol and related beverages. SPIRITS: cover distillation methods and stills used in the production of whisky, cereal- and cane-based spirits, brandy, fruit spirits and liquers ANALYTICAL METHODS: covering the monitoring of processes in the production of alcoholic beverages, as well as sample preparation, chromatographic, spectroscopic, electrochemical, physical, sensory and organoleptic methods of analysis. NUTRITION AND HEALTH ASPECTS RELATING TO ALCOHOLIC BEVERAGES: includes a discussion on nutritional aspects, both macro- and micro-nutrients, of alcoholic beverages, their ingestion, absorption and catabolism, the health consequences of alcohol, and details of the additives and residues within the various beverages and their raw materials.

Vitoriano Ruas Numerical Methods for Partial Differential Equations. An Introduction

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6391.03 руб.
Numerical Methods for Partial Differential Equations: An Introduction Vitoriano Ruas, Sorbonne Universités, UPMC – Université Paris 6, France A comprehensive overview of techniques for the computational solution of PDE's Numerical Methods for Partial Differential Equations: An Introduction covers the three most popular methods for solving partial differential equations: the finite difference method, the finite element method and the finite volume method. The book combines clear descriptions of the three methods, their reliability, and practical implementation aspects. Justifications for why numerical methods for the main classes of PDE's work or not, or how well they work, are supplied and exemplified. Aimed primarily at students of Engineering, Mathematics, Computer Science, Physics and Chemistry among others this book offers a substantial insight into the principles numerical methods in this class of problems are based upon. The book can also be used as a reference for research work on numerical methods for PDE’s. Key features: A balanced emphasis is given to both practical considerations and a rigorous mathematical treatment The reliability analyses for the three methods are carried out in a unified framework and in a structured and visible manner, for the basic types of PDE's Special attention is given to low order methods, as practitioner's overwhelming default options for everyday use New techniques are employed to derive known results, thereby simplifying their proof Supplementary material is available from a companion website.

Peter Jeschke Modern Methods in Crop Protection Research

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15119.75 руб.
This handbook and ready reference highlights a couple of basic aspects of recently developed new methods in modern crop protection research, authored by renowned experts from major agrochemical companies. Organized into four major parts that trace the key phases of the compound development process, the first section addresses compound design, while the second covers newly developed methods for the identification of the mode of action of agrochemical compounds. The third part describes methods used in improving the bioavailability of compounds, and the final section looks at modern methods for risk assessment. As a result, the agrochemical developer will find here a valuable toolbox of advanced methods, complete with first-hand practical advice and copious examples from current industrial practice.

Enrique Saldivar-Guerra Handbook of Polymer Synthesis, Characterization, and Processing

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16017.33 руб.
Covering a broad range of polymer science topics, Handbook of Polymer Synthesis, Characterization, and Processing provides polymer industry professionals and researchers in polymer science and technology with a single, comprehensive handbook summarizing all aspects involved in the polymer production chain. The handbook focuses on industrially important polymers, analytical techniques, and formulation methods, with chapters covering step-growth, radical, and co-polymerization, crosslinking and grafting, reaction engineering, advanced technology applications, including conjugated, dendritic, and nanomaterial polymers and emulsions, and characterization methods, including spectroscopy, light scattering, and microscopy.

Nissar Barua Manpower Planning

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9689 руб.
This book seeks to explore the ambit of manpower planning. It surveys the existing literature on manpower planning and analyses the strength and limitations of the process. A thorough analysis is carried out on the various methods of manpower planning and a rigorous examination is undertaken on the operational techniques of forecasting manpower demand and supply. The inter-industry model is adopted to project the total demand for manpower in Assam and in the process the imbalance between the demand and the corresponding manpower supply is estimated. The objective behind the exercise is to indicate the imbalance between demand for and supply of manpower for different educational categories. This throws light on the surpluses or shortages which exist for different categories of manpower in an economy. The book presents an excellent exposition of the techniques used in the process of manpower planning.

George E. P. Box Time Series Analysis. Forecasting and Control

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11226.9 руб.
Praise for the Fourth Edition “The book follows faithfully the style of the original edition. The approach is heavily motivated by real-world time series, and by developing a complete approach to model building, estimation, forecasting and control." – Mathematical Reviews Bridging classical models and modern topics, the Fifth Edition of Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control maintains a balanced presentation of the tools for modeling and analyzing time series. Also describing the latest developments that have occurred in the field over the past decade through applications from areas such as business, finance, and engineering, the Fifth Edition continues to serve as one of the most influential and prominent works on the subject. Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control, Fifth Edition provides a clearly written exploration of the key methods for building, classifying, testing, and analyzing stochastic models for time series and describes their use in five important areas of application: forecasting; determining the transfer function of a system; modeling the effects of intervention events; developing multivariate dynamic models; and designing simple control schemes. Along with these classical uses, the new edition covers modern topics with new features that include: A redesigned chapter on multivariate time series analysis with an expanded treatment of Vector Autoregressive, or VAR models, along with a discussion of the analytical tools needed for modeling vector time series An expanded chapter on special topics covering unit root testing, time-varying volatility models such as ARCH and GARCH, nonlinear time series models, and long memory models Numerous examples drawn from finance, economics, engineering, and other related fields The use of the publicly available R software for graphical illustrations and numerical calculations along with scripts that demonstrate the use of R for model building and forecasting Updates to literature references throughout and new end-of-chapter exercises Streamlined chapter introductions and revisions that update and enhance the exposition Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control, Fifth Edition is a valuable real-world reference for researchers and practitioners in time series analysis, econometrics, finance, and related fields. The book is also an excellent textbook for beginning graduate-level courses in advanced statistics, mathematics, economics, finance, engineering, and physics.

Jill Vance Thoughts On a Wave, Maxims

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702 руб.
Thoughts on a Wave is a book of maxims. It is a random collection of sayings regarding many aspects of life; some are simply thoughts, others actual phrases you can use in speech. Many are thoughts that pass through my head when talking to people, but which never see the light of day.

Bernhard Michalke Metallomics. Analytical Techniques and Speciation Methods

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13098.05 руб.
Latest developments, new insights and knowledge derived from speciation analysis in one unique compilation: The reader gets acquainted with relevant instrumental as well as application aspects of metallomics approaches, paving the road to understanding fate, pathway, and action of metals in environment and organisms. Upon an introductory chapter on analytical methods and strategies, the full bandwidth of applications is discussed. Expert chapter authors cast spotlights on recent topics such as metallomics applications to environmental and nutrition studies as well as biology and medicine. Special chapters deal with the impact of manganese and iron on neurodegeneration, and the impact of nanoparticles on health.

B. a. Michelle Spicer The Transgender Handbook

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1989 руб.
This book is the result of countless hours of research and life experience in the transgender community. The articles are designed to help, inform and stimulate conversations on the subject of transgender people. Often marginalized and misunderstood, transgender people struggle on a daily basis with discrimination and harassment from the general population. It is my firm hope that this book helps give you some of the tools to deal with some of the aspects of transitioning and being a transgender person.

Jelke Bethlehem Applied Survey Methods. A Statistical Perspective

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11268.05 руб.
A complete, hands-on guide to the use of statistical methods for obtaining reliable and practical survey research Applied Survey Methods provides a comprehensive outline of the complete survey process, from design to publication. Filling a gap in the current literature, this one-of-a-kind book describes both the theory and practical applications of survey research with an emphasis on the statistical aspects of survey methods. The book begins with a brief historic overview of survey research methods followed by a discussion that details the needed first steps for carrying out a survey, including the definition of a target population, the selection of a sampling frame, and the outline of a questionnaire with several examples that include common errors to avoid in the wording of questions. Throughout the book, the author provides an accessible discussion on the methodological problems that are associated with the survey process, outlining real data and examples while also providing insight on the future of survey research. Chapter coverage explores the various aspects of the survey process and the accompanying numerical techniques, including: Simple and composite sampling designs Estimators Data collection and editing The quality of results The non-response problem Weighting adjustments and methods Disclosure control The final chapter addresses the growing popularity of Web surveys, and the associated methodological problems are discussed, including solutions to common pitfalls. Exercises are provided throughout with selected answers included at the end of the book, while a related Web site features additional solutions to exercises and a downloadable demo version of the Blaise system of computer-assisted interviewing. Access to the freely available SimSam software is also available on the related Web site and provides readers with the tools needed to simulate samples from finite populations as well as visualize the effects of sample size, non-response, and the use of different estimation procedures. Applied Survey Methods is an excellent book for courses on survey research and non-response in surveys at the upper-undergraduate and graduate levels. It is also a useful reference for practicing statisticians and survey methodologists who work in both government and private research sectors.

Mary Adrian The Junior Sheriff Mystery

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1039 руб.
Two Junior Sheriffs -- who are part of the nationwide Junior Sheriff movement to combat juvenile delinquency -- solve a baffling robbery by means of boyish quick thinking and some new-found knowledge of weather forecasting.

Frank Gustrau RF and Microwave Engineering. Fundamentals of Wireless Communications

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6575.99 руб.
This book provides a fundamental and practical introduction to radio frequency and microwave engineering and physical aspects of wireless communication In this book, the author addresses a wide range of radio-frequency and microwave topics with emphasis on physical aspects including EM and voltage waves, transmission lines, passive circuits, antennas, radio wave propagation. Up-to-date RF design tools like RF circuit simulation, EM simulation and computerized smith charts, are used in various examples to demonstrate how these methods can be applied effectively in RF engineering practice. Design rules and working examples illustrate the theoretical parts. The examples are close to real world problems, so the reader can directly transfer the methods within the context of their own work. At the end of each chapter a list of problems is given in order to deepen the reader’s understanding of the chapter material and practice the new competences. Solutions are available on the author’s website. Key Features: Presents a wide range of RF topics with emphasis on physical aspects e.g. EM and voltage waves, transmission lines, passive circuits, antennas Uses various examples of modern RF tools that show how the methods can be applied productively in RF engineering practice Incorporates various design examples using circuit and electromagnetic (EM) simulation software Discusses the propagation of waves: their representation, their effects, and their utilization in passive circuits and antenna structures Provides a list of problems at the end of each chapter Includes an accompanying website containing solutions to the problems (http:\\www.fh-dortmund.de\gustrau_rf_textbook) This will be an invaluable textbook for bachelor and masters students on electrical engineering courses (microwave engineering, basic circuit theory and electromagnetic fields, wireless communications). Early-stage RF practitioners, engineers (e.g. application engineer) working in this area will also find this book of interest.

Michael Cartwright Laser Ignition of Energetic Materials

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14295.3 руб.
The book gives an introduction to energetic materials and lasers, properties of such materials and the current methods for initiating energetic materials. The following chapters and sections highlight the properties of lasers, and safety aspects of their application. It covers the properties of in-service energetic materials, and also materials with prospects of being used as insensitive ammunitions in future weapon or missiles systems or as detonators in civilian (mining) applications. Because of the diversity of the topics some sections will naturally separate into different levels of expertise and knowledge.

Hemen Dutta An Introductory Course in Summability Theory

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9730.69 руб.
An introductory course in summability theory for students, researchers, physicists, and engineers In creating this book, the authors’ intent was to provide graduate students, researchers, physicists, and engineers with a reasonable introduction to summability theory. Over the course of nine chapters, the authors cover all of the fundamental concepts and equations informing summability theory and its applications, as well as some of its lesser known aspects. Following a brief introduction to the history of summability theory, general matrix methods are introduced, and the Silverman-Toeplitz theorem on regular matrices is discussed. A variety of special summability methods, including the Nörlund method, the Weighted Mean method, the Abel method, and the (C, 1) – method are next examined. An entire chapter is devoted to a discussion of some elementary Tauberian theorems involving certain summability methods. Following this are chapters devoted to matrix transforms of summability and absolute summability domains of reversible and normal methods; the notion of a perfect matrix method; matrix transforms of summability and absolute summability domains of the Cesàro and Riesz methods; convergence and the boundedness of sequences with speed; and convergence, boundedness, and summability with speed. • Discusses results on matrix transforms of several matrix methods • The only English-language textbook describing the notions of convergence, boundedness, and summability with speed, as well as their applications in approximation theory • Compares the approximation orders of Fourier expansions in Banach spaces by different matrix methods • Matrix transforms of summability domains of regular perfect matrix methods are examined • Each chapter contains several solved examples and end-of-chapter exercises, including hints for solutions An Introductory Course in Summability Theory is the ideal first text in summability theory for graduate students, especially those having a good grasp of real and complex analysis. It is also a valuable reference for mathematics researchers and for physicists and engineers who work with Fourier series, Fourier transforms, or analytic continuation. ANTS AASMA, PhD, is Associate Professor of Mathematical Economics in the Department of Economics and Finance at Tallinn University of Technology, Estonia. HEMEN DUTTA, PhD, is Senior Assistant Professor of Mathematics at Gauhati University, India. P.N. NATARAJAN, PhD, is Formerly Professor and Head of the Department of Mathematics, Ramakrishna Mission Vivekananda College, Chennai, Tamilnadu, India.

Egbert Boeker Environmental Physics. Sustainable Energy and Climate Change

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15040.21 руб.
This thoroughly revised and updated third edition focuses on the utilization of sustainable energy and mitigating climate change, serving as an introduction to physics in the context of societal problems. A distinguishing feature of the text is the discussion of spectroscopy and spectroscopic methods as a crucial means to quantitatively analyze and monitor the condition of the environment, the factors determining climate change, and all aspects of energy conversion. This textbook will be invaluable to students in physics and related subjects, and supplementary materials are available on a companion website.

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